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Post-Halving Crypto Market Sentiment Mixed, Half Still Bullish

5.0
| by
Lim Yu Qian
-

What Is the Current Crypto Market Sentiment?

Crypto market sentiment has become divided just two months after the Bitcoin Halving, with no strong consensus sentiment. According to a recent survey, 49.3% of crypto participants still felt bullish about the market, even amid the pullback that has reversed an initial post-Halving rally. Specifically, 26.1% of survey respondents felt somewhat bullish, which was slightly more than the 23.2% who were fully bullish. 

1 in 4 crypto participants felt neutral about the market, neither leaning towards bullish nor bearish sentiments. The neutral sentiment was the second most common survey response. This might reflect participants’ uncertainty towards crypto market conditions, or indicate that participants were waiting for further developments before forming their market view. 

The remaining 25.2% of participants felt bearish on the crypto market. Again the bearish crypto market sentiment was almost evenly distributed, with 13.4% responding that they were somewhat bearish and 11.8% fully bearish. 

Investors & Builders More Bullish Crypto Than Traders & Spectators

Among four types of survey participants, investors were the most optimistic about the market: 54.1% of crypto investors felt bullish and only 20.7% had bearish sentiments. Builders were the second most optimistic, with 47.6% indicating bullish sentiments and 31.6% bearish.

In comparison, traders’ crypto market sentiments were largely mixed, with 39.0% expressing bullishness and 33.5% bearish. This perhaps highlights how traders with shorter-term holdings are more likely to adjust their market sentiments in line with price action, whereas investors and builders are more focused on the crypto market’s potential in a longer time horizon.

Sidelined spectators were the most pessimistic about the crypto market, with the 28.5% bullish responses outnumbered by the 42.4% who expressed bearish sentiments. Given that they self-identified as having no direct crypto involvement, spectator respondents might reflect the views of participants who have taken profits and exited the market for the time being.

That said, it is worth noting that the survey did not strictly define each participation type so as to allow respondents to self-select based on their own perception. As such, perceived definitions of long-term and short-term crypto holdings may vary.

Crypto Market Sentiment Survey Results

According to the survey of crypto participants, the current crypto market sentiment from June 25 to July 8, 2024, is as follows:

Sentiment Share of Participants
Bearish 11.8%
Somewhat bearish 13.4%
Neutral 25.5%
Somewhat bullish 26.1%
Bullish 23.2%

Methodology

The study examined 2,558 crypto participants’ responses in the anonymous CoinGecko Post-Halving Sentiment Survey from June 25 to July 8, 2024. Survey results should be taken as indicative only.

Among the survey participants, 69% considered themselves as crypto investors with mainly long-term holdings, 18% identified as traders with mainly shorter-term holdings, 7% as builders and 6% as sidelined spectators. In terms of how long participants had been in crypto, 46% were in their first cycle (0 to 3 years in crypto), 41% in their second cycle (4 to 7 years) and the remaining participants were veterans with 8 or more years of experience. Geographically, 90% of participants stated that they were based in Europe, Asia, North America and Africa, while the rest were in Oceania or South America. 

This study is for illustrative and informational purposes only, and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and be careful when putting your money into any crypto or financial asset.


If you use these insights, we would appreciate a link credit to this article on CoinGecko. A link credit allows us to keep supplying you with data-led content that you may find useful.

Curious to find out more about our previous research studies & statistics? Check out this one we did on Bitcoin and Ethereum compared to the Magnificent Seven stocks.

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Lim Yu Qian
Lim Yu Qian
Yuqian is a crypto research analyst at CoinGecko, covering a range of topics from NFTs to ETFs, crypto adoption and interest, and beyond. She's especially fascinated by the philosophical and socioeconomic aspects of crypto. She holds a Bachelor of Social Sciences with Honors from the National University of Singapore. Follow the author on Twitter @solosbrqt

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